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1.
BMJ Open Qual ; 12(2)2023 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-20239446

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A coalition (Strategic Clinical Improvement Committee), with a mandate to promote physician quality improvement (QI) involvement, identified hospital laboratory test overuse as a priority. The coalition developed and supported the spread of a multicomponent initiative about reducing repetitive laboratory testing and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) ordering across one Canadian province. This study's purpose was to identify coalition factors enabling medicine and emergency department (ED) physicians to lead, participate and influence appropriate BUN test ordering. METHODS: Using sequential explanatory mixed methods, intervention components were grouped as person focused or system focused. Quantitative phase/analyses included: monthly total and average of the BUN test for six hospitals (medicine programme and two EDs) were compared pre initiative and post initiative; a cost avoidance calculation and an interrupted time series analysis were performed (participants were divided into two groups: high (>50%) and low (<50%) BUN test reduction based on these findings). Qualitative phase/analyses included: structured virtual interviews with 12 physicians/participants; a content analysis aligned to the Theoretical Domains Framework and the Behaviour Change Wheel. Quotes from participants representing high and low groups were integrated into a joint display. RESULTS: Monthly BUN test ordering was significantly reduced in 5 of 6 participating hospital medicine programmes and in both EDs (33% to 76%), resulting in monthly cost avoidance (CAN$900-CAN$7285). Physicians had similar perceptions of the coalition's characteristics enabling their QI involvement and the factors influencing BUN test reduction. CONCLUSIONS: To enable physician confidence to lead and participate, the coalition used the following: a simply designed QI initiative, partnership with a coalition physician leader and/or member; credibility and mentorship; support personnel; QI education and hands-on training; minimal physician effort; and no clinical workflow disruption. Implementing person-focused and system-focused intervention components, and communication from a trusted local physician-who shared data, physician QI initiative role/contribution and responsibility, best practices, and past project successes-were factors influencing appropriate BUN test ordering.


Subject(s)
Physicians , Quality Improvement , Humans , Leadership , Canada , Interrupted Time Series Analysis
2.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 9: e40591, 2023 05 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2320519

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: China implemented a nationwide lockdown to contain COVID-19 from an early stage. Previous studies of the impact of COVID-19 on sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) and diseases caused by blood-borne viruses (BBVs) in China have yielded widely disparate results, and studies on deaths attributable to STDs and BBVs are scarce. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to elucidate the impact of COVID-19 lockdown on cases, deaths, and case-fatality ratios of STDs and BBVs. METHODS: We extracted monthly data on cases and deaths for AIDS, gonorrhea, syphilis, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C between January 2015 and December 2021 from the notifiable disease reporting database on the official website of the National Health Commission of China. We used descriptive statistics to summarize the number of cases and deaths and calculated incidence and case-fatality ratios before and after the implementation of a nationwide lockdown (in January 2020). We used negative binominal segmented regression models to estimate the immediate and long-term impacts of lockdown on cases, deaths, and case-fatality ratios in January 2020 and December 2021, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 14,800,330 cases of and 127,030 deaths from AIDS, gonorrhea, syphilis, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C were reported from January 2015 to December 2021, with an incidence of 149.11/100,000 before lockdown and 151.41/100,000 after lockdown and a case-fatality ratio of 8.21/1000 before lockdown and 9.50/1000 after lockdown. The negative binominal model showed significant decreases in January 2020 in AIDS cases (-23.4%; incidence rate ratio [IRR] 0.766, 95% CI 0.626-0.939) and deaths (-23.9%; IRR 0.761, 95% CI 0.647-0.896), gonorrhea cases (-34.3%; IRR 0.657, 95% CI 0.524-0.823), syphilis cases (-15.4%; IRR 0.846, 95% CI 0.763-0.937), hepatitis B cases (-17.5%; IRR 0.825, 95% CI 0.726-0.937), and hepatitis C cases (-19.6%; IRR 0.804, 95% CI 0.693-0.933). Gonorrhea, syphilis, and hepatitis C showed small increases in the number of deaths and case-fatality ratios in January 2020. By December 2021, the cases, deaths, and case-fatality ratios for each disease had either reached or remained below expected levels. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 lockdown may have contributed to fewer reported cases of AIDS, gonorrhea, syphilis, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C and more reported deaths and case-fatality ratios of gonorrhea, syphilis, and hepatitis C in China.


Subject(s)
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome , COVID-19 , Gonorrhea , Hepatitis B , Hepatitis C , Sexually Transmitted Diseases , Syphilis , Humans , Syphilis/epidemiology , Gonorrhea/epidemiology , Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/epidemiology , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Communicable Disease Control , Sexually Transmitted Diseases/epidemiology , Hepatitis B/epidemiology , Hepatitis C/epidemiology
3.
BMJ Open ; 13(5): e066398, 2023 05 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2315788

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To explore the impact of a temporary cancellation of elective surgery in winter 2017 on trends in primary hip and knee replacement at a major National Health Service (NHS) Trust, and whether lessons can be learnt about efficient surgery provision. DESIGN AND SETTING: Observational descriptive study using interrupted time series analysis of hospital records to explore trends in primary hip and knee replacement surgery at a major NHS Trust, as well as patient characteristics, 2016-2019. INTERVENTION: A temporary cancellation of elective services for 2 months in winter 2017. OUTCOMES: NHS-funded hospital admissions for primary hip or knee replacement, length of stay and bed occupancy. Additionally, we explored the ratio of elective to emergency admissions at the Trust as a measure of elective capacity, and the ratio of public to private provision of NHS-funded hip and knee surgery. RESULTS: After winter 2017, there was a sustained reduction in the number of knee replacements, a decrease in the proportion of most deprived people having knee replacements and an increase in average age for knee replacement and comorbidity for both types of surgery. The ratio of public to private provision dropped after winter 2017, and elective capacity generally has reduced over time. There was clear seasonality in provision of elective surgery, with less complex patients admitted during winter. CONCLUSIONS: Declining elective capacity and seasonality has a marked effect on the provision of joint replacement, despite efficiency improvements in hospital treatment. The Trust has outsourced less complex patients to independent providers, and/or treated them during winter when capacity is most limited. There is a need to explore whether these are strategies that could be used explicitly to maximise the use of limited elective capacity, provide benefit to patients and value for money for taxpayers.


Subject(s)
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee , Humans , State Medicine , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip/adverse effects , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee/adverse effects , Hospitalization
4.
J Korean Med Sci ; 38(18): e137, 2023 May 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2315681

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to investigate the change in the incidence rate, length of hospital stay (LOS), in-hospital mortality rate, and surgical method of hip fractures during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in South Korea where lockdown restrictions were not implemented. METHODS: We calculated the expected values of the incidence of hip fractures, in-hospital mortality and LOS of hip fracture patients in 2020 (COVID period) based hip fracture database of the Korean National Health Insurance Review and Assessment (HIRA) during a 9-year period from 2011 to 2019 (pre-COVID period). A generalized estimating equation model with Poisson distribution and logarithmic link function was used to estimate adjusted annual percent change (PC) of incidence rate and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Then, we compared the annual incidence, in-hospital mortality rate and LOS in 2020 with the expected values. RESULTS: The overall incidence rate of hip fracture in 2020 was not significantly different from the expected value (PC, -5%; 95% CI, -13 to 4; P = 0.280). In women, the incidence rate of hip fracture in age groups over 70 years was smaller than the predicted value (P < 0.001). The in-hospital mortality rate was not significantly different from the expected value (PC, 5%; 95% CI, -8 to 19; P = 0.461). The mean LOS was larger than the expected value by 2% (PC, 2%; 95% CI, 1 to 3; P < 0.001). In intertrochanteric fracture, the proportion of internal fixation was smaller than the predicted value by 2% (PC, -2%; 95% CI, -3 to -1; P < 0.001), and that of hemiarthroplasty was larger than the predicted value by 8% (PC, 8%; 95% CI, 4 to 14; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In 2020, the incidence rate of hip fracture did not significantly decrease, and in-hospital mortality rate did not significantly increase compared to the expected rates, which were projected based on the HIRA hip fracture data from 2011 to 2019. Only LOS increased slightly.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Hip Fractures , Humans , Female , Aged , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , COVID-19/epidemiology , Communicable Disease Control , Hip Fractures/epidemiology , Republic of Korea/epidemiology
5.
Int J Drug Policy ; 117: 104051, 2023 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2307492

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic had many negative effects worldwide. These effects involved mental health status issues such as suicide, depression, and the pattern of death associated with drug/poisonings. One of the major concerns of the healthcare community during the pandemic was mortality from poisonings. This study aimed to investigate the trends of mortality from different types of poisonings before and after COVID-19. METHODS: The patients who died from six different categories of drugs or poisons were identified by forensic analysis of body fluids/tissues in Tehran, Iran. The pandemic was separated into the pre-COVID-19 period (April 2018 to January 2020), and the COVID pandemic (February 2020-April 2022). Demographic characteristics were collected from each victim, and comparisons of death trends before and after the pandemic were conducted using the interrupted time series analysis. The absolute number of deaths and proportion of deaths from each type of drug/poisoning were used for the analyses. RESULTS: A total of 6,316 deaths from drugs/poisoning were identified between April 2018-Mar 2022). During this period, 2,485 deaths occurred pre-COVID, and 3,831 were during the COVID-19 era. There were no statistical differences in terms of demographic characteristics before and after the pandemic, except for job status. There was a sharp increase in proportion of methanol death among all poisonings after the start of the pandemic (16.5%, p-value = 0.025), while there was a decreasing trend during the pandemic (-0.915 deaths monthly, p-value = 0.027). The trends for opioids, stimulants, and drug-related deaths changed from decreasing to increasing. No change was seen in the trends for ethanol and volatile substance deaths. This pattern was mirrored in the proportion of each type of poisoning relative to the total number. CONCLUSION: Changes in poisoning-related mortality patterns showed dramatic changes after the start of the pandemic, especially deaths from methanol. Other poisonings such as opioids, stimulants, and drugs should also be addressed as there was an increasing trend during the COVID-19 period, compared to the pre-COVID data.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Drug-Related Side Effects and Adverse Reactions , Humans , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Analgesics, Opioid , Methanol , Iran/epidemiology , Pandemics
6.
Lancet ; 401(10385): 1361-1370, 2023 04 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2305879

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Since May 1, 2018, every alcoholic drink sold in Scotland has had minimum unit pricing (MUP) of £0·50 per unit. Previous studies have indicated that the introduction of this policy reduced alcohol sales by 3%. We aimed to assess whether this has led to reductions in alcohol-attributable deaths and hospitalisations. METHODS: Study outcomes, wholly attributable to alcohol consumption, were defined using routinely collected data on deaths and hospitalisations. Controlled interrupted time series regression was used to assess the legislation's impact in Scotland, and any effect modification across demographic and socioeconomic deprivation groups. The pre-intervention time series ran from Jan 1, 2012, to April 30, 2018, and for 32 months after the policy was implemented (until Dec 31, 2020). Data from England, a part of the UK where the intervention was not implemented, were used to form a control group. FINDINGS: MUP in Scotland was associated with a significant 13·4% reduction (95% CI -18·4 to -8·3; p=0·0004) in deaths wholly attributable to alcohol consumption. Hospitalisations wholly attributable to alcohol consumption decreased by 4·1% (-8·3 to 0·3; p=0·064). Effects were driven by significant improvements in chronic outcomes, particularly alcoholic liver disease. Furthermore, MUP legislation was associated with a reduction in deaths and hospitalisations wholly attributable to alcohol consumption in the four most socioeconomically deprived deciles in Scotland. INTERPRETATION: The implementation of MUP legislation was associated with significant reductions in deaths, and reductions in hospitalisations, wholly attributable to alcohol consumption. The greatest improvements were in the four most socioeconomically deprived deciles, indicating that the policy is positively tackling deprivation-based inequalities in alcohol-attributable health harm. FUNDING: Scottish Government.


Subject(s)
Alcohol Drinking , Alcoholic Beverages , Humans , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Alcohol Drinking/epidemiology , Alcohol Drinking/prevention & control , Ethanol , Hospitalization , Scotland/epidemiology , Costs and Cost Analysis , Commerce , Time Factors
7.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 568, 2023 03 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2304077

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The Hepatitis B virus that can cause liver cancer is highly prevalent in the Gambia, with one in ten babies at risk of infection from their mothers. Timely hepatitis B birth dose administration to protect babies is very low in The Gambia. Our study assessed whether 1) a timeliness monitoring intervention resulted in hepatitis B birth dose timeliness improvements overall, and 2) the intervention impacted differentially among health facilities with different pre-intervention performances. METHODS: We used a controlled interrupted time series design including 16 intervention health facilities and 13 matched controls monitored from February 2019 to December 2020. The intervention comprised a monthly hepatitis B timeliness performance indicator sent to health workers via SMS and subsequent performance plotting on a chart. Analysis was done on the total sample and stratified by pre-intervention performance trend. RESULTS: Overall, birth dose timeliness improved in the intervention compared to control health facilities. This intervention impact was, however, dependent on pre-intervention health facility performance, with large impact among poorly performing facilities, and with uncertain moderate and weak impacts among moderately and strongly performing facilities, respectively. CONCLUSION: The implementation of a novel hepatitis B vaccination timeliness monitoring system in health facilities led to overall improvements in both immediate timeliness rate and trend, and was especially helpful in poorly performing health facilities. These findings highlight the overall effectiveness of the intervention in a low-income setting, and also its usefulness to aid facilities in greatest need of improvement.


Subject(s)
Hepatitis B , Parturition , Infant , Pregnancy , Female , Humans , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Gambia , Hepatitis B/prevention & control , Vaccination , Hepatitis B Vaccines
8.
Eur Rev Med Pharmacol Sci ; 27(7): 3208-3217, 2023 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2302653

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Healthcare systems have been put under intense pressure by the COVID-19 pandemic, although some studies have shown a decline in hospital admissions for cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases during the first and second wave of the pandemic. In addition, studies analyzing gender and procedural differences are scarce. The present study aimed to determine the impact of the pandemic on hospital admissions for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and cerebrovascular disease (CVD) in Andalusia (Spain) and analyzed differences by gender and by percutaneous coronary interventions performed. PATIENTS AND METHODS: An interrupted time series analysis of AMI and CVD hospital admissions in Andalusia (Spain) was carried out to measure the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak. AMI and CVD cases admitted daily in public hospitals of Andalusia between January 2018 and December 2020 were included. RESULTS: During the pandemic, significant reductions in AMI [-19%; 95% confidence interval (CI): (-29%, -9%), p<0.001] and CVD [-17%; 95% CI: (-26%, -9%); p<0.01] in daily hospital admissions were observed. Differences were also produced according to the diagnosis (ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction, Non-ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction, other AMI and stroke), with a greater reduction in females for AMI and in males for CVD. Although there were more percutaneous coronary interventions during the pandemic, no significant reductions were observed. CONCLUSIONS: A decline in AMI and CVD daily hospital admissions during the first and second wave of COVID-19 pandemic was noted. Gender differences were observed, but no clear impact was observed in percutaneous interventions.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Myocardial Infarction , Percutaneous Coronary Intervention , Stroke , Male , Female , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Coronary Vessels , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Spain/epidemiology , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/diagnosis
9.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 6679, 2023 04 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2291183

ABSTRACT

Japanese government initially enforced restrictions on outpatient attendances among febrile individuals suspected of having COVID-19, asking everyone to remain at home for at least 4 days from the onset of fever. This restriction was cancelled on 8 May 2020, and a new antiviral, remdesivir, was approved from 7 May 2020. To investigate how this policy change influenced the prognosis of people with COVID-19, we estimated the case fatality risk as a function of the date of illness onset from April to June 2020. We used an interrupted time-series analysis model with an intervention date of 8 May 2020, and estimated time-dependent case fatality risk by age group. The case fatality risk showed a decreasing trend in all groups, and models were favored accounting for an abrupt causal effect, i.e., immediate decline in fatality risk. The trend was estimated at - 1.1% (95% CI [confidence interval]: - 3.9, 3.0) among people aged 60-69 years, - 7.2% (95% CI - 11.2, - 2.4) among those aged 70-79 years, - 7.4% (95% CI - 14.2, 0.2) among those aged 80-89 years, and - 10.3% (95% CI - 21.1, 2.7) among those aged 90 and over. Early diagnosis and treatment greatly contributed to reducing the case fatality risk.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , Japan , Prognosis , Early Diagnosis , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , COVID-19 Testing
10.
Epidemiol Serv Saude ; 32(1): e2022547, 2023.
Article in English, Portuguese | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2292971

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: to analyze records of hospitalizations due to mental and behavioral disorders before and after the beginning of the covid-19 pandemic in Brazil, from January 2008 to July 2021. METHODS: this was a descriptive ecological interrupted time series study, using secondary data retrieved from the Brazilian National Health System Hospital Information System; a time series analysis of hospitalizations was conducted based on a population-weighted Poisson regression model; relative risk (RR) and respective 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were calculated. RESULTS: we identified 6,329,088 hospitalizations due to mental and behavioral disorders; hospitalization rates showed an 8% decrease (RR = 0.92; 95%CI 0.91;0.92) after the start of the pandemic, compared to the pre-pandemic period. CONCLUSION: the pandemic changed the trend of hospitalizations due to mental and behavioral disorders in Brazil; the drop observed in the period is evidence that the pandemic affected the mental health care network.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pandemics , Humans , Brazil/epidemiology , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , COVID-19/epidemiology , Hospitals
11.
Med Princ Pract ; 32(2): 117-125, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2263740

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: There is a lack of studies evaluating the COVID-19 pandemic effect on breast cancer detection according to age-group. This study aimed to assess the pandemic impact on the trend of mammograms, breast biopsies, and breast cancer stage at diagnosis according to age-group. METHODS: This was an ecological time series study by inflection point regression model. We used data from women aged between 30 and 49, 50 and 69, and 70 years or more available in an open-access dataset of the Brazilian public healthcare system (2017-2021). We analyzed the trend of the variables in the pre-pandemic and the pandemic effect on the total time series. RESULTS: The decreasing or stationary trend of mammograms in the pre-pandemic has changed to a decreasing trend in the total time series in all age-groups. Before the pandemic, the increasing trend of breast biopsies has changed to stationary in the total time series in all age-groups. The increasing trend of tumors at stages 0 to II in the pre-pandemic has changed to decreasing or stationary in the total time series. Finally, the increasing trend of tumors at stage III or IV remained increasing in the total time series in all age-groups. CONCLUSION: The pandemic has changed the stationary or increasing trend to a decreasing or stationary trend of mammograms, breast biopsies, and tumors at stages 0 to II but has not influenced the increasing trend of tumors at stages III and IV in all age-groups.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , COVID-19 , Female , Humans , Adult , Breast Neoplasms/diagnosis , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Pandemics , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , COVID-19/epidemiology , Mammography , COVID-19 Testing
13.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 442, 2023 03 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2257891

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to investigate overall and age group/region/sex-specific excess all-cause mortality from the inception of the COVID-19 pandemic in Iran until February 2022. METHODS: Weekly all-cause mortality data were obtained for the period March 2015 until February 2022. We conducted interrupted time series analyses, using a generalized least-square regression model to estimate excess mortality after the COVID-19 pandemic. Using this approach, we estimated the expected post-pandemic death counts based on five years of pre-pandemic data and compared the results with observed mortality during the pandemic. RESULTS: After the COVID-19 pandemic, we observed an immediate increase (1,934 deaths per week, p = 0.01) in weekly all-cause mortality. An estimated 240,390 excess deaths were observed in two years after the pandemic. Within the same period, 136,166 deaths were officially attributed to COVID-19. The excess mortality was greatest among males compared with females (326 versus 264 per 100k), with an increasing trend by age group. There is a clear increased excess mortality in the central and northwestern provinces. CONCLUSION: We found that the full mortality burden during the outbreak has been much heavier than what is officially reported, with clear differences by sex, age group, and geographical region.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Female , Male , Humans , Iran/epidemiology , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Pandemics , Disease Outbreaks
14.
J Subst Use Addict Treat ; 149: 209029, 2023 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2257779

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Following the emergence of COVID-19, Ireland introduced national contingency guidelines to ensure rapid and uninterrupted access to opioid agonist treatment (OAT). This study aims to assess the impact of changes introduced to the delivery of OAT on the number of people accessing treatment and treatment dropout. METHODS: The study conducted interrupted time series analyses, with separate segmented regression models (March 2019-February 2020) vs (April 2020-March 2021), for (A) total number of people accessing OAT, (B) the number initiating treatment, and (C) the number dropping out of treatment, using data from the National OAT treatment register. The study examined immediate (change in level or intercept: ß2) and long-term impacts (change in slope; i.e., the difference between the slope before and after the intervention: ß3). We performed total and stratified analyses by gender, age group (<40/≥40 years), and OAT drug (methadone or buprenorphine). RESULTS: A total of 10,251 people accessed OAT in Ireland in March 2019 (2 % buprenorphine, n = 178), increasing to 11,441 (4 % buprenorphine, n = 471) in March 2021. The study observed an immediate (ß2 = 504.3, p < 0.001) and continued (ß3 = 31.9, p < 0.001) increase of people accessing treatment following the introduction of the OAT contingency guidelines. In contrast, observed changes in level and slope were not significant for treatment initiation or dropout. The study did find, however, a modest reduction in dropout among those receiving buprenorphine (ß3 = -0.6, p = 0.036). CONCLUSIONS: Changes introduced to the delivery of OAT, under the COVID-19 contingency guidelines, are associated with increased access to OAT in Ireland, with no evidence of increase in treatment dropout. Whether these effects will be maintained over time remains to be seen.


Subject(s)
Buprenorphine , COVID-19 , Opioid-Related Disorders , Humans , Adult , Analgesics, Opioid/therapeutic use , Opioid-Related Disorders/drug therapy , Opiate Substitution Treatment , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Ireland/epidemiology , Pandemics , Buprenorphine/therapeutic use
16.
Med J Aust ; 218(3): 120-125, 2023 02 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2283168

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To assess emergency department (ED) presentation numbers in Queensland during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic to mid-2021, a period of relatively low COVID-19 case numbers. DESIGN: Interrupted time series analysis. SETTING: All 105 Queensland public hospital EDs. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Numbers of ED presentations during the COVID-19 lockdown period (11 March 2020 - 30 June 2020) and the period of easing restrictions (1 July 2020 - 30 June 2021), compared with pre-pandemic period (1 January 2018 - 10 March 2020), overall (daily numbers) and by Australasian Triage Scale (ATS; daily numbers) and selected diagnostic categories (cardiac, respiratory, mental health, injury-related conditions) and conditions (stroke, sepsis) (weekly numbers). RESULTS: During the lockdown period, the mean number of ED presentations was 19.4% lower (95% confidence interval, -20.9% to -17.9%) than during the pre-pandemic period (predicted mean number: 5935; actual number: 4786 presentations). The magnitudes of the decline and the time to return to predicted levels varied by ATS category and diagnostic group; changes in presentation numbers were least marked for ATS 1 and 2 (most urgent) presentations, and for presentations with cardiac conditions or stroke. Numbers remained below predicted levels during the 12-month post-lockdown period for ATS 5 (least urgent) presentations and presentations with mental health problems, respiratory conditions, or sepsis. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic and related public restrictions were associated with profound changes in health care use. Pandemic plans should include advice about continuing to seek care for serious health conditions and health emergencies, and support alternative sources of care for less urgent health care needs.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Stroke , Humans , Pandemics , Queensland , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Communicable Disease Control , Emergency Service, Hospital , Stroke/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies
18.
Pharmacol Rep ; 75(3): 715-725, 2023 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2281406

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 has been challenging for the entire healthcare system, due to the lack of sufficient treatment protocols, especially during initial phases and as regards antibiotic use. The aim of this study was to identify the trends of antimicrobial consumption in one of the largest tertiary hospitals in Poland during COVID-19. METHODS: This is a retrospective study conducted at the University Hospital in Krakow, Poland, between Feb/Mar 2020 and Feb 2021. It included 250 patients. All included patients were hospitalized due to COVID-19 with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection without bacterial co-infections during the first phase of COVID-19 in Europe and following 3-month intervals: five equal groups of patients in each. COVID severity and antibiotic consumption were assessed according to WHO recommendations. RESULTS: In total 178 (71.2%) patients received antibiotics with a incidence rate of laboratory-confirmed healthcare-associated infection (LC-HAI) was 20%. The severity of COVID-19 was mild in 40.8%, moderate in 36.8%, and severe in 22.4% cases. The ABX administration was significantly higher for intensive care unit (ICU) patients (97.7% vs. 65.7%). Length of hospital stay was extended for patients with ABX (22.3 vs. 14.4 days). In total, 3 946.87 DDDs of ABXs were used, including 1512.63 DDDs in ICU, accounting for 780.94 and 2522.73 per 1000 hospital days, respectively. The median values of antibiotic DDD were greater among patients with severe COVID-19 than others (20.92). Patients admitted at the beginning of the pandemic (Feb/Mar, May 2020) had significantly greater values of median DDDs, respectively, 25.3 and 16.0 compared to those admitted in later (Aug, Nov 2020; Feb 2021), respectively, 11.0, 11.0 and 11.2, but the proportion of patients receiving ABX therapy was lower in Feb/Mar and May 2020 (62.0 and 48.0%), whereas the highest during the late period of the pandemic, i.e., in Aug, Nov. 2020 and Feb. 2021 (78% and both 84.0%). CONCLUSIONS: Data suggest great misuse of antibiotics without relevant data about HAIs. Almost all ICU patients received some antibiotics, which was correlated with prolonged hospitalization.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Poland/epidemiology , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Hospitals
19.
Int J Environ Res Public Health ; 20(4)2023 Feb 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2274366

ABSTRACT

After the first COVID-19 patient was diagnosed, non-pharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing and behavior change campaigns were implemented in South Korea. The social distancing policy restricted unnecessary gatherings and activities to prevent local transmission. This study aims to evaluate the effect of social distancing, a strategy for COVID-19 prevention, on the number of acute respiratory infection inpatients. This study used the number of hospitalized patients with acute respiratory infection from the Infectious Disease Portal of the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC) between the first week of January 2018, to the last week of January 2021. Intervention 1t represents the first patient occurrence of COVID-19, Intervention 2t represents the relaxing of the social distancing policy. We used acute respiratory infection statistics from Korea and segmented regression analysis was used. The analysis showed that the trend of the number of acute respiratory infection inpatients decreased after the implementation of the first patient incidence of COVID-19 due to prevention activities. After the relaxing of the social distancing policy, the number of inpatients with acute respiratory infections significantly increased. This study verified the effect of social distancing on the reduction in hospital admissions for acute respiratory viral infections.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pneumonia , Humans , COVID-19/prevention & control , Inpatients , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Physical Distancing
20.
Am J Clin Nutr ; 117(2): 364-372, 2023 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2273970

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Increased weight gain and decreased physical activity have been reported in some populations since the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, but this has not been well characterized in pregnant populations. OBJECTIVES: Our objective was to characterize the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and associated countermeasures on pregnancy weight gain and infant birthweight in a US cohort. METHODS: Washington State pregnancies and births (1 January, 2016 to 28 December, 2020) from a multihospital quality improvement organization were examined for pregnancy weight gain, pregnancy weight gain z-score adjusted for pregestational BMI and gestational age, and infant birthweight z-score, using an interrupted time series design that controls for underlying time trends. We used mixed-effect linear regression models, controlled for seasonality and clustered at the hospital level, to model the weekly time trends and changes on 23 March, 2020, the onset of local COVID-19 countermeasures. RESULTS: Our analysis included 77,411 pregnant people and 104,936 infants with complete outcome data. The mean pregnancy weight gain was 12.1 kg (z-score: -0.14) during the prepandemic time period (March to December 2019) and increased to 12.4 kg (z-score: -0.09) after the onset of the pandemic (March to December 2020). Our time series analysis found that after the pandemic onset, the mean weight gain increased by 0.49 kg (95% CI: 0.25, 0.73 kg) and weight gain z-score increased by 0.080 (95% CI: 0.03, 0.13), with no changes in the baseline yearly trend. Infant birthweight z-scores were unchanged (-0.004; 95% CI: -0.04, 0.03). Overall, the results were unchanged in analyses stratified by pregestational BMI categories. CONCLUSIONS: We observed a modest increase in weight gain after the onset of the pandemic among pregnant people but no changes in infant birthweights. This weight change could be more important in high BMI subgroups.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Gestational Weight Gain , Female , Pregnancy , Infant , Humans , Birth Weight , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Pandemics , COVID-19/epidemiology , Weight Gain
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